First, we need to calculate the required rate of return. When a stock’s beta equals 1, the required return is equal to the market return, or 10.0%. Thus, ke = 0.10. Alternative: Using the capital asset pricing model (CAPM), ke = Rf + Beta * (Rm – Rf) = 4.5% + 1 * (10.0% - 4.5%) = 4.5% + 5.5% = 10.0%.
Next, we need to calculate the dividends for years 1 and 2.
- D1 = D0 * (1 + g) = 2.50 * (1.10) = 2.75
- D2 = D1 * (1 + g) = 2.75 * (1.10) = 3.03
Then, we use the one-year holding period DDM to calculate the present value of the expected stock cash flows (assuming the one-year hold).
- P0 = [D1/ (1 + ke)] + [P1 / (1 + ke)] = [$2.75 / (1.10)] + [$25.0 / (1.10)] = $25.22. Shortcut: since the growth rate in dividends, g, was equal to ke, the present value of next year’s dividend is equal to last year’s dividend.
Finally, we use the multi-period DDM to calculate the return for the stock if held for two years.
- P0 = [D1/ (1 + ke)] + [D2/ (1 + ke)2] + [P2 / (1 + ke)2] = [$2.75 / (1.10)] + [$3.03 / (1.10)2] + [$30.0 / (1.10)2] = $29.80. Note: since the growth rate in dividends, g, was equal to ke, the present value of next year’s dividend is equal to last year’s dividend (for periods 1 and 2). Thus, a quick calculation would be 2.5 * 2 + $30.00 / (1.10)2 = 29.80.